The Ohio Senate race has been surprising because we’ve seen so little movement this entire year even though copious amounts of campaign funds have already been spent.

The CNN news organization released the results of their series of key statewide polls yesterday, and the most interesting result is a 46-46% tie between Pennsylvania Democratic US Senator Bob Casey, Jr. and Republican businessman David McCormick (8/23-29; part of a six state polling series; 777 PA likely voters; multiple sampling techniques). This is the first time the two have been on equal footing.

Attorney and Marine Corps veteran John Deaton easily defeated two other Republican candidates in last night’s Massachusetts primary and will now face Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D) in the general election. Obviously, Sen. Warren will be considered a prohibitive favorite in this most Democratic of states.

A new polling series involving several Senate races unveils some new interesting data patterns.

Riding a wave of strong personal favorability, former Maryland Governor Larry Hogan (R) has climbed back into a ballot test tie with Prince George’s County Executive Angela Alsobrooks (D) according to a new statewide poll.

Once again, we see a large number of House open seats, something that has been common throughout the previous decade and the beginning of this one, yet in 2024 very few open seats are poised to flip to the opposite party.

Rasmussen Reports released a series of presidential state polls, all with accompanying competitive Senate races, and while the numbers are surprisingly favorable for former President Donald Trump, the same sampling universes are leaning decidedly Democratic in the Senate races.

A few days after being readmitted to the hospital, 87-year old veteran US Representative Bill Pascrell (D-NJ) sadly passed away. His family issued the announcement yesterday.